Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 15.830948 17.906125 20.096320 22.574725 25.295778 28.186680 31.484627
2025-02-02 13.959890 17.033755 20.473293 24.585077 29.343505 34.653537 41.002630
2025-02-09 12.094447 15.820751 20.216723 25.732790 32.412862 40.182721 49.840975
2025-02-16 10.186253 14.246675 19.283242 25.893822 34.236605 44.305669 57.255385
2025-02-23 8.446610 12.611852 18.034547 25.460710 35.197912 47.351892 63.467426
2025-03-02 7.118891 11.314885 17.032741 25.176858 36.232758 50.454102 69.825443
2025-03-09 6.169036 10.396240 16.405079 25.274583 37.694726 54.099968 76.976025
2025-03-16 5.283719 9.440391 15.600389 25.013263 38.590939 56.979013 83.186845
2025-03-23 4.902838 9.198425 15.787299 26.143093 41.440672 62.573081 93.214610
2025-03-30 4.373394 8.642253 15.431519 26.418349 43.048495 66.488396 101.068238
2025-04-06 3.694715 7.738742 14.433788 25.619004 43.000070 68.029464 105.635156
2025-04-13 3.090366 6.873792 13.398959 24.654546 42.605759 69.004830 109.378226
2025-04-20 2.903338 6.762343 13.627539 25.756143 45.475041 74.923018 120.543517
2025-04-27 2.902753 7.008549 14.490168 27.951836 50.159518 83.710696 136.192290
2025-05-04 2.751881 6.936015 14.780235 29.200461 53.396457 90.444404 149.043014
2025-05-11 2.465930 6.544480 14.453568 29.364201 54.881816 94.562416 158.130658
2025-05-18 2.134576 6.002175 13.787990 28.875821 55.253205 96.956138 164.677257
2025-05-25 1.865493 5.551845 13.246820 28.556309 55.866608 99.720979 171.842598
2025-06-01 1.673549 5.247259 12.956813 28.661525 57.182983 103.613674 180.822962
2025-06-08 1.467221 4.870411 12.478038 28.370294 57.783731 106.359389 188.074662
2025-06-15 1.414282 4.876101 12.798014 29.620154 61.137160 113.668618 202.692894
2025-06-22 1.289160 4.669173 12.640314 29.924095 62.810167 118.262701 213.110140
2025-06-29 1.092366 4.225198 11.912287 29.038997 62.281463 119.172742 217.633060